The Punters Diary

23/05/21

Hawera

9 Race meeting

Using 1 of 8 Probable Combinations

10% Stake on all races

Starting Bankroll = $47.73

Ending Bankroll = $1.33

All Race Fail

Race 8, Correct Combination but a rejected horse came 3rd

Missed out on a $278.00 payout.

22/05/21

Te Rapa and Doomben

Te Rapa,

Two Bets using 4 Probable Combinations

Bet 1:

Race 2, $19.20 10% wager, Win, $4.00 Return, $15,20 Loss on investment.

Bet 2:

Race 5, $12.00 10% wager, Win, $10.50 Return, $1.50 Loss on investment.

Doomben,

Bet 3:

Race 7, $40.00 10% wager, Loss, $40.00 Loss on investment.

The Four Combinations used based on last weeks Combination stats.

Starting Bankroll = $104.00

Ending Bankroll = $47.00 (after rounding)

15/05/21

Rotorua, New Plymouth

Both 9 Race meetings

Total = 18 Races

Starting Bankroll = $206.00

Using 1 Probable Combination on all races

10% Staking all Races

First race of each Meeting, part return as a scratching occured after submitting selections.

These races were Fails as were the proceeding 16 races.

Total loss = $162.00

Ending Bankroll = $44.00

Following is the Statistical Outcome of the Probable Combinations.

Rotorua          New Plymouth              Total

eee =        0               0                                  0

ooo =        1               2                                  3

oeo =        0               0                                  0

eoe =        0               1                                   1

oee =        3               2                                   5

eeo =        3                1                                  4

eoo =        1                2                                  3

ooe =        0                1                                  1

Can you guess the Combination I used?

9/5/21

Woodville

11 Race Meeting

Race #1, 12 Horse field, 100 Sub Combination, $10.00 %10  Stake

Result = Fail

Race #2, 14 Horse field, 120 Sub Combination, $12.00  %10 Stake

Correct Combination but horse #12 scratched, $3.00 returned, $9.00 Stolen.

One reject took First Place.

Result = Fail

Race #3, 13 Horse field, 72 Sub Combination, $7.20 %10 Stake

Changed to a different 1 of 8 Probable Combination

Result = Fail

Original Combination of choice was successful.

End of Betting

Starting Bankroll = $233.00

Ending Bankroll = $206.00

Loss =$26.00

2/5/21

Timaru

9 Race Meeting

Using 1 of 8 Probable “Trifecta with a Twist” combinations.

Using Percentage and Costing Ratio (attached below).

Race 1, 14 Horse field, 4 rejects = 120 Sub Combinations,

$16.00, 13% Stake

Result = Win, $73.00 payout = $57.00 Profit.

End of Betting.

Starting BankRoll = $175.00

Ending BankRoll = $ 232.00

The winning combination appeared two more times, as did one other appear three times.

Three Combinations appeared 0ne time each.

Three not at all.

Timaru 2521 Picks and Result

28/4/21

Sitting in car waiting for someone to finish shopping.

Rotorua

Race 9, Last race. 12 Horse field, 7 Longshots, 5 Not.

$1.00 each on Longshots to win.

Result = Fail

Starting BankRoll = $182.00

Ending BankRoll = $175.00

26/4/21

Avondale

Today being my Birthday, I’m pleased to post a more successful outcome.

After all my most recent Fails I have had a gain.

Saturday and Sunday losses left a BankRoll of around $52 – $53

Two races Bet on.

Using 1 of 8 probable winning Combinations based on horse numbering biasing.

Race 4, 11 Horse field, 168 Sub Combinations, Stake $16.80, 10%

Result = Win, $147.–

Profit = $131.–

Using a different Combination based on horse numbering bias.

Race 5, 10 Horse field, 72 Sub Combinations, Stake $7.20, 10%

Result = $6.00

One horse Scratched last minute, therefore refund less Bookies Fee.

Loss = $1.00

Ending BankRoll = $182.00

Avondale 26421 Results

24/4/21 + 25/4/21

Albion Park + Awapuni

Very quiet on the Betting action this weekend. Early Birthday lunch and weekend  in Picton.

Two Bets made,

#1: Trifecta with a Twist,  10 Horse field, 1 Combination used for a stake of $10, 10%, 100 Sub Combinations.

Result = Fail

#2: Trifecta with a Twist, 6 Horse field, 4 Combinations used for a stake of $4.00 each, 100%. 4 Sub Combinations each. Total Stake = $16.00

Result = Fail

1 of 2 rejects took second place.

Update:

Sometime ago, I developed a Staking formula that I have not utilised yet.

Saturdays races were Staked using 10% wager.

This resulted in a total investment of $24.00 for a return of $21.00.

Loss of, $3.00

If I had used my Staking formula, (snapshot below), the result would have been different.

This would have cost $75.00 total Stake, for a $105.00 return.

Profit of, $30.00

17/4/21

Te Papa

9 Race Meeting

Using 1 Probable Combination on all races.

10% Stake on all races.

Sub Combinations are after Handicapping.

Race #1, 10 Horse field, 36 Subs, $3.6, Fail

Race #2,  7 Horse field, 24 Subs, $2.4, Fail

Race #3, 10 Horse field, 90 Subs, $9.0, Fail

Race #4, Unable to place Bet. Phone Issues

Race #5, 11 Horse field, 60 Subs, $6.0, Fail

Race #6, 12 Horse field, 36 Subs, $3.6, Win,

Payout = $21.00

End of Betting

Starting BankRoll = $82.00

End BankRoll = $79.00

Loss = $3.00

Totaled Waged = $24.60

Te Papa 17421 Picks and Results