28/3/21
Tauherekau
Race 1, Two scratchings for a Five horse race. Due to the small field size, the Bias of such dictated the combination used.
50% bet at $6.00, 12 Sub combinations.
Race 1, Fail
Race 2, Two scratchings for a Nine horse race. Switched to preferred Combination.
20% bet at $12.00, 60 Sub combinations.
Race 2, Refunded
Meeting abandoned due to dangerous issue of Track in first race.
Starting Bankroll = $71.00
Ending Bankroll = $65.00
24/3/21
Pukekohe
Race 1, 3 combinations, 100 sub combinations each, 10% stake = $30.00
Race 1, Fail
Race 2, 1 combination, 100 sub combinations, 10% stake = $10.00
Race 2, Win, Return $4.00, $6.00 Loss
Race 3, 1 combination, 80 sub combinations, 10% stake = $8.00
Race 3, Fail
Race 4, 7 horse field, Passed on this.
Race 5, 1 combination, 90 sub combinations, 10% stake = $9.00
Race 5, Fail
Quit while behind.
Total Staked =$57.00
One win resulting $4.00
Total Loss = $53.00
22/3/21
Monday Ramblings
In my March 13 post, I mentioned only a fool would use all Eight Probable Winning Combinations on One race.
Let me elaborate and break this statement down to common sense.
Using my “Trifecta with a Twist” strategy, handicaps the possibility of winning down to Eight Probable winning combinations and at an affordable cost compared to Boxing just a few contenders.
The Pros of this system if all combinations are used, will result in a “GUARANTEED WIN”.
Yes! you read that correct.
For example:
An Eight Horse race results in 48 Sub combination for each Probable combination.
8 x 48 = 384 total Sub combinations.
For a 100% Stake =$384.00
or, $38.40 for a 10% Bet.
Doing so will GUARANTEE you the win, BUT, there is no guarantee as to the value of the payout.
From doing dry bets and being “A FOOL” for one day I found this out to be “TRUE
I believe the “CONS” outweigh the “PROS”.
Therefore, I think using one combination and sticking to that combination on all subsequent races until hitting the winning result is the more common sense way to apply the system.
Using Two or Three Combinations on the same race maybe a more sensible option to better your chances of winning. Any more would reduce the level of profit gained for a greater outlay.
20/3/21
Trenthem
9 Race Meeting
Using the same 1 of 8 winning combinations, with varying betting percentages,
dependent on field size, the total stake for 9 races = $115.00
Sadly, the combination I chose to use Failed on all races.
Starting Bankroll = $247.00
Less Loss = $115.00
Leaves = $132.00
Break Down Of Successful Combinations:
1 Combination Successful x3
1 Combination Successful x2
4 Combination Successful x1 each
My Combination and one other Fails.
On a lighter note,
Two strangers riding through the desert.
One stranger sees an arse sticking up out of the sand.
Points and asks “Whats that?”
The other stranger says “Who’s askn’?”
The first stranger replies ” Yeah, That’s’ what I wanna know”
17/3/21
Cheltenham, England.
Hurdles.
Two races.
Race 1,
Seven horse field, Two Combinations used,
#1, 36 sub combos, 10% stake $3.60
#2, 16 sub combos, 12% stake $2.00
Result = Fail
Race 2,
Six horse field, Two Combinations used,
#1, 18 sub combos, 11% stake $2.00
#2, 18 sub combos, 11% stake $2.00
Result =
#1, Fail
#2, Win = $5.20
Total Stake = $9.60
Total loss = $4.40
14/3/21
Gore and Reefton
Gore
Race 1, 48 sub combos, 10% stake = $4.80, fail
Race 2, 6 horse field, passed on this race.
Race 3, 48 sub combos, 10% stake = $4.80, fail
Reefton
TAB promotion on Harness meeting, $10,000 on all first 4 bets.
Race 2, Utilising my “First 4 with a twist, twist”
This required 2 combo bets to cover the fourth placing for a total of 144 sub combos.
10% stake = $14.40
One combo was successful.
Paying $114.70
$100.00 profit
Starting Bankroll from yesterday = $161.00
Ending Bankroll = $252
<— The entry date is wrong.
14/3/21
Sunday Ramblings.
When contemplating yesterdays races as to use all 1 in 8 probable combos, the thought of a double hit went through my mind. Either third equal or second equal, even first equal would be good.
I don’t know if it was mind over matter or coincidence but,
Trenthem Race 5, First equal placing.
My initial stake was $33.60 for a return of $17.10 ($8.05 +$9.05)
Still a loss on investment.
This bet was utilising TAB’s new Fixed Odds on Exotics.
Will not be doing that again.
Racing in Gore today.
13/3/21
When developing and trialing my “Trifecta with a Twist” system, because of the threat from Favourites destroying a decent payout, I concluded that only a FOOL would utilise all Probable Combinations on one race.
Well, today, I became that FOOL!
Trenthem , Ellersley and The Valley, Australia.
Trenthem:
Race 1, 3 longshots to Win $1 each, 2 fails, 1 success = $12.00
Race 2, 2 longshots to Win $1 each, 1 fail, 1 refund
Race 3, 2 longshots to Win $1 each, both fails.
Next:
Two Trifectas with a twist but, going against my own rule, only a fool would bet using all one in eight probable combinations.
Race 5, 8 combinations culminating in 6, 48 sub combos and 2, 24 sub combos.
10% total Stake = $33.60
Result:
First equal on 2 combos for a return of $17.10 ($9.05 + $8.05)
Race 6, back to 1 combo at 10% Stake = $4.80, fail.
Ellersley:
Race 6, 8 probable combos at 10% =$33.60
All Bookies Favourites come in, in correct order.
Return = 0.60 cents
“FOOLS AND HORSES”
Race 7, back to 1 combo at 10% Stake = $4.80, fail
Finally:
The Valley, Aussie
1 combo at 10% Stake =$4.80
Success. paying $29.50
Starting Bankroll = $190
End of betting = $161
7/3/21
Ellerslie
10 Race Meeting
Race 1, 6 horse field so passed on it. But did put $1 on longshot to win,
They do come in sometimes but not this time.
Race 2, Secret Trifecta formula.
Wagered $12 for a 10% stake on 120 combinations.
Successful outcome.
Paying $300.? for 100% bet.
My return, $30.20.
$18.20 profit.
8 more races to go but using strict disciplinary protocol, I’ll no more be betting.
6/3/21
Awapuni and Wingatui
Alternate between two race meetings.
Having done the handicapping and wagering costs, was unable to put bets on.
Following is the “what if”.
Utilising my secret “Trifecta with a Twist”, and 10% wagering.
Race 1, Awapuni 7 horse field so passed this race.
Race 1 and 2, Wingatui, Fails
Race 2, Awapuni, Fail
Race 3, Wingatui, Fail
Race 3, Awapuni, Fail
Race 4, Wingatui, Success
Total wagered for all races at 10% = $38
Race 4 payout at 10% = $212
Potential profit = $174