Morphettville 29/04/23
Races 1 to 4 fails
Win on race 5, but a loss on investment.
Good discipline, end betting while behind, not when broke.
Race 4, 2 scratchings.
Race 5, #7 last seconds scratching leaving six contenders, hence small payout plus small pools at this meeting.
Race 7, rejected horse #6, the favourite, as a false favourite. Just so happened to come fourth.
Total loss for session = $15.50
April 27/04/23
Morphettville Aus Sat 29/04/23
10 Race meeting
Using 1 of 8 probable winning combinations
ooe
Putting my “Trifecta with a Twist” strategy picks for all to see pre race day.
Morphetville 290423 – Pre Select
Riccarton 15/4/23
9 race meeting
Using 2 of 8 ‘Trifecta with a Twist’ combinations for a 25% strike rate.
Using 5% and 10% staking.
No Bet on race #1
Fail on race #2
Win on race #3 for a total profit of $8.70
End of Betting. Not quite. Tried once more on race #8 for a fail.
If I had kept Betting, the 2 combinations used were successful four more times (Grrr).
Ending with an overall profit of $2.50
April Saturday 8-4-23
Randwick Australia
This entry is an “What could have been” post.
Last Saturday racing at Randwick showed an anomaly.
I partook not in any Betting last weekend but in reviewing the results at the Randwick meeting, what stood out was the lack of favourites taking out the top spots. Longshots seemed to be the successors.
The payouts on the Trifectas were very good, up into the tens of thousands on some races. That would have been a painful day for the Bookies!
Whether it was the cause of False Favourites against True Favourites or some track bias anomaly I can not speculate.
Therefore, I thought I would give it a crack.
10 race meeting
Using 1 of 8 probable winning “Trifecta with a twist” combinations.
Dependent on race field size, 5% and 10% staking to keep the cost to a reasonable level.
Because of my commitments I refrained from Betting but, on reviewing the results I would have had a successful session.
9-4-23
Update.
Reviewed results on the NZ TAB site.
If I had Bet using 100% stake, 120 sub combinations for a total stake of $120.00, the Payout on race 7 for the Trifecta was $180,668 Yes, you read that right.